Stocks / YUM
YUM stock forecast
YUM BRANDS INC · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
The model's rating
Underperform
YUM is rated Underperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is below the middle of the stocks the model scores, but above the bottom fifth.
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YUM is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
YUM against the S&P 500
| Period | YUM | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | -10.6% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | -15.2% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | -8.5% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | -8.5% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $136.34 |
| Market cap | 37.21 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 17.0 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 4.3 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | -5.9 |
| Gross margin | 45.3% |
| Net profit margin | 25.4% |
| Return on equity | -30.3% |
| Beta | 0.0 |
As of August 5, 2026.
YUM and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMG | CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC | 40.43 Billion | Outperform | CMG vs YUM |
| DRI | DARDEN RESTAURANTS INC | 22.05 Billion | Underperform | YUM vs DRI |
| DPZ | DOMINOS PIZZA INC | 9.91 Billion | Underperform | YUM vs DPZ |
| SBUX | STARBUCKS CORP | 107.11 Billion | Underperform | SBUX vs YUM |
| MCD | MCDONALDS CORP | 163.42 Billion | Underperform | MCD vs YUM |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about YUM?
The model rates YUM BRANDS INC (YUM) "Underperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is below the middle of the stocks the model scores, but above the bottom fifth. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the YUM rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is YUM in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
YUM is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.