Stocks / CMG
CMG stock forecast
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
The model's rating
Outperform
CMG is rated Outperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is above the middle of the stocks the model scores, but outside the top fifth.
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CMG is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
CMG against the S&P 500
| Period | CMG | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | -16.0% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | -8.7% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | -13.6% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | -18.5% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $31.95 |
| Market cap | 40.43 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 29.3 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 3.2 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 21.4 |
| Gross margin | 24.1% |
| Net profit margin | 11.4% |
| Return on equity | 53.3% |
| Beta | 0.7 |
As of July 31, 2026.
CMG and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YUM | YUM BRANDS INC | 37.21 Billion | Underperform | CMG vs YUM |
| DRI | DARDEN RESTAURANTS INC | 22.05 Billion | Underperform | CMG vs DRI |
| DPZ | DOMINOS PIZZA INC | 9.91 Billion | Underperform | CMG vs DPZ |
| SBUX | STARBUCKS CORP | 107.11 Billion | Underperform | SBUX vs CMG |
| MCD | MCDONALDS CORP | 163.42 Billion | Underperform | MCD vs CMG |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about CMG?
The model rates CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) "Outperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is above the middle of the stocks the model scores, but outside the top fifth. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the CMG rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is CMG in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
CMG is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.