Stocks / MCD
MCD stock forecast
MCDONALDS CORP · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
The model's rating
Underperform
MCD is rated Underperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is below the middle of the stocks the model scores, but above the bottom fifth.
Create a free account to compare any two stocks; the numeric score is part of Premium.
MCD is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
MCD against the S&P 500
| Period | MCD | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | -11.7% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | -13.7% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | -23.0% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | -22.0% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $230.94 |
| Market cap | 163.42 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 18.7 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 5.9 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | -189.9 |
| Gross margin | 59.6% |
| Net profit margin | 31.7% |
| Return on equity | -561.2% |
| Beta | 0.0 |
As of August 7, 2026.
MCD and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBUX | STARBUCKS CORP | 107.11 Billion | Underperform | MCD vs SBUX |
| CMG | CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC | 40.43 Billion | Outperform | MCD vs CMG |
| YUM | YUM BRANDS INC | 37.21 Billion | Underperform | MCD vs YUM |
| DRI | DARDEN RESTAURANTS INC | 22.05 Billion | Underperform | |
| DPZ | DOMINOS PIZZA INC | 9.91 Billion | Underperform |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about MCD?
The model rates MCDONALDS CORP (MCD) "Underperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is below the middle of the stocks the model scores, but above the bottom fifth. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the MCD rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is MCD in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
MCD is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.