Stocks / HD
HD stock forecast
HOME DEPOT INC · Consumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail
The model's rating
Outperform
HD is rated Outperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is above the middle of the stocks the model scores, but outside the top fifth.
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HD is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
HD against the S&P 500
| Period | HD | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | -12.6% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | -18.3% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | -15.5% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | -27.8% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $284.49 |
| Market cap | 283.83 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 19.9 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 1.7 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 20.3 |
| Gross margin | 33.2% |
| Net profit margin | 8.4% |
| Return on equity | 102.7% |
| Beta | 0.7 |
As of August 25, 2026.
HD and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCD | MCDONALDS CORP | 163.42 Billion | Underperform | HD vs MCD |
| TJX | TJX COMPANIES INC | 145.54 Billion | Underperform | HD vs TJX |
| SBUX | STARBUCKS CORP | 107.11 Billion | Underperform | HD vs SBUX |
| LOW | LOWES COMPANIES INC | 103.4 Billion | Outperform | |
| MAR | MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL INC | 92.75 Billion | Underperform | |
| ROST | ROSS STORES INC | 74.56 Billion | Underperform |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about HD?
The model rates HOME DEPOT INC (HD) "Outperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is above the middle of the stocks the model scores, but outside the top fifth. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the HD rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is HD in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
HD is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.