Stocks / XOM
XOM stock forecast
EXXON MOBIL CORP · Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
The model's rating
Greatly Outperform
XOM is rated Greatly Outperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is in the top fifth of the stocks the model scores.
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XOM is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
XOM against the S&P 500
| Period | XOM | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +1.1% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | +20.2% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | +37.9% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | +48.5% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $162.75 |
| Market cap | 669.21 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 20.9 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 1.8 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 2.5 |
| Gross margin | 23.9% |
| Net profit margin | 8.9% |
| Return on equity | 12.7% |
| Beta | -0.6 |
As of August 3, 2026.
XOM and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVX | CHEVRON CORP | 403.47 Billion | Outperform | XOM vs CVX |
| COP | CONOCOPHILLIPS | 150.35 Billion | Greatly Outperform | XOM vs COP |
| VLO | VALERO ENERGY CORP | 111.6 Billion | Greatly Outperform | XOM vs VLO |
| MPC | MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP | 111.04 Billion | Greatly Outperform | |
| PSX | PHILLIPS 66 | 101.87 Billion | Greatly Outperform | |
| WMB | WILLIAMS COMPANIES INC | 83.14 Billion | Underperform |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about XOM?
The model rates EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) "Greatly Outperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is in the top fifth of the stocks the model scores. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the XOM rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is XOM in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
XOM is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.