Stocks / VLO
VLO stock forecast
VALERO ENERGY CORP · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
The model's rating
Greatly Outperform
VLO is rated Greatly Outperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is in the top fifth of the stocks the model scores.
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In the model portfolio. VLO is holding #20 for 2026 Q3, at 1.7% of the book. See the portfolio
VLO against the S&P 500
| Period | VLO | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +10.0% | -0.4% |
| 3 months | +49.4% | +2.6% |
| Year to date | +141.8% | +12.9% |
| 1 year | +130.1% | +16.4% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $387.72 |
| Market cap | 111.64 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 16.1 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 0.8 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 3.6 |
| Gross margin | 8.0% |
| Net profit margin | 5.2% |
| Return on equity | 29.9% |
| Beta | -0.3 |
As of July 30, 2026.
VLO and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPC | MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP | 110.09 Billion | Greatly Outperform | VLO vs MPC |
| PSX | PHILLIPS 66 | 100.65 Billion | Greatly Outperform | VLO vs PSX |
| WMB | WILLIAMS COMPANIES INC | 83.95 Billion | Underperform | VLO vs WMB |
| SLB | SLB LIMITED | 74.01 Billion | Outperform | |
| EOG | EOG RESOURCES INC | 73.26 Billion | Outperform | |
| COP | CONOCOPHILLIPS | 150.7 Billion | Greatly Outperform |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about VLO?
The model rates VALERO ENERGY CORP (VLO) "Greatly Outperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is in the top fifth of the stocks the model scores. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the VLO rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is VLO in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
Yes. VLO is holding number 20 in the 2026 Q3 model portfolio, at 1.7% of the book.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.