Stocks / CVNA
CVNA stock forecast
CARVANA CO · Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships
The model's rating
Greatly Underperform
CVNA is rated Greatly Underperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is in the bottom fifth of the stocks the model scores.
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CVNA is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
CVNA against the S&P 500
| Period | CVNA | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | -14.9% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | -7.9% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | -25.9% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | -17.1% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $62.54 |
| Market cap | 68.82 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 28.1 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 2.8 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 18.1 |
| Gross margin | 19.4% |
| Net profit margin | 6.3% |
| Return on equity | 46.6% |
| Beta | 2.4 |
As of July 29, 2026.
CVNA and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORLY | O REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC | 69.09 Billion | Greatly Underperform | ORLY vs CVNA |
| GM | GENERAL MOTORS CO | 67.56 Billion | Greatly Outperform | CVNA vs GM |
| HLT | HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS INC | 71.6 Billion | Underperform | HLT vs CVNA |
| ROST | ROSS STORES INC | 74.56 Billion | Underperform | ROST vs CVNA |
| NKE | NIKE INC | 52.52 Billion | Greatly Outperform | |
| F | FORD MOTOR CO | 48.09 Billion | Greatly Outperform |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about CVNA?
The model rates CARVANA CO (CVNA) "Greatly Underperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is in the bottom fifth of the stocks the model scores. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the CVNA rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is CVNA in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
CVNA is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.