Stocks / TSCO
TSCO stock forecast
TRACTOR SUPPLY CO · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
The model's rating
Outperform
TSCO is rated Outperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is above the middle of the stocks the model scores, but outside the top fifth.
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TSCO is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
TSCO against the S&P 500
| Period | TSCO | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | -10.3% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | -2.4% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | -36.2% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | -43.7% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $31.29 |
| Market cap | 16.3 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 16.3 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 1.0 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 6.8 |
| Gross margin | 36.5% |
| Net profit margin | 6.4% |
| Return on equity | 39.3% |
| Beta | 0.4 |
As of August 6, 2026.
TSCO and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPC | GENUINE PARTS CO | 17.33 Billion | Outperform | GPC vs TSCO |
| BBY | BEST BUY CO INC | 18.51 Billion | Outperform | BBY vs TSCO |
| CASY | CASEYS GENERAL STORES INC | 22.49 Billion | Greatly Underperform | CASY vs TSCO |
| ULTA | ULTA BEAUTY INC | 23.35 Billion | Outperform | |
| WSM | WILLIAMS SONOMA INC | 26.85 Billion | Outperform | |
| AZO | AUTOZONE INC | 46.2 Billion | Underperform |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about TSCO?
The model rates TRACTOR SUPPLY CO (TSCO) "Outperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is above the middle of the stocks the model scores, but outside the top fifth. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the TSCO rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is TSCO in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
TSCO is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.