Stocks / TGT
TGT stock forecast
TARGET CORP · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
The model's rating
Greatly Outperform
TGT is rated Greatly Outperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is in the top fifth of the stocks the model scores.
Create a free account to compare any two stocks; the numeric score is part of Premium.
TGT is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
TGT against the S&P 500
| Period | TGT | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | -2.6% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | +21.2% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | +64.6% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | +81.6% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $156.69 |
| Market cap | 71.18 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 16.2 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 0.7 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 4.2 |
| Gross margin | 29.3% |
| Net profit margin | 4.1% |
| Return on equity | 26.7% |
| Beta | 0.5 |
As of August 28, 2026.
TGT and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DG | DOLLAR GENERAL CORP | 26.38 Billion | Outperform | TGT vs DG |
| DLTR | DOLLAR TREE INC | 21.39 Billion | Outperform | TGT vs DLTR |
| COST | COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP | 403.72 Billion | Greatly Underperform | COST vs TGT |
| WMT | WALMART INC | 824.47 Billion | Greatly Outperform | WMT vs TGT |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about TGT?
The model rates TARGET CORP (TGT) "Greatly Outperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is in the top fifth of the stocks the model scores. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the TGT rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is TGT in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
TGT is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.