Stocks / UPS
UPS stock forecast
UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
The model's rating
Outperform
UPS is rated Outperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is above the middle of the stocks the model scores, but outside the top fifth.
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UPS is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
UPS against the S&P 500
| Period | UPS | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | -10.4% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | -13.3% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | -1.3% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | +19.3% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $93.44 |
| Market cap | 79.5 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 17.4 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 0.9 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 6.1 |
| Gross margin | 33.4% |
| Net profit margin | 5.1% |
| Return on equity | 29.1% |
| Beta | 0.8 |
As of August 5, 2026.
UPS and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDX | FEDEX CORP | 67.45 Billion | Outperform | UPS vs FDX |
| EXPD | EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC | 24.0 Billion | Underperform | UPS vs EXPD |
| JBHT | HUNT J B TRANSPORT SERVICES INC | 21.04 Billion | Underperform | UPS vs JBHT |
| CHRW | C H ROBINSON WORLDWIDE INC | 17.29 Billion | Underperform | |
| FDXF | FEDEX FREIGHT HOLDING COMPANY INC | 16.35 Billion | Greatly Outperform |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about UPS?
The model rates UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC (UPS) "Outperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is above the middle of the stocks the model scores, but outside the top fifth. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the UPS rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is UPS in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
UPS is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.