Stocks / TPL
TPL stock forecast
TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
The model's rating
Greatly Underperform
TPL is rated Greatly Underperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is in the bottom fifth of the stocks the model scores.
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TPL is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
TPL against the S&P 500
| Period | TPL | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | -13.0% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | -21.4% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | +13.9% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | +5.4% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $325.83 |
| Market cap | 22.47 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 41.6 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 25.0 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 15.8 |
| Gross margin | 85.6% |
| Net profit margin | 60.3% |
| Return on equity | 35.8% |
| Beta | 0.4 |
As of August 5, 2026.
TPL and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXE | EXPAND ENERGY CORP | 19.47 Billion | Underperform | TPL vs EXE |
| EQT | EQT CORP | 30.38 Billion | Underperform | EQT vs TPL |
| APA | APA CORP | 14.55 Billion | Greatly Outperform | TPL vs APA |
| DVN | DEVON ENERGY CORP | 50.64 Billion | Greatly Underperform | |
| FANG | DIAMONDBACK ENERGY INC | 51.47 Billion | Underperform | |
| OXY | OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP | 55.3 Billion | Outperform |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about TPL?
The model rates TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP (TPL) "Greatly Underperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is in the bottom fifth of the stocks the model scores. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the TPL rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is TPL in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
TPL is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.