Stocks / STLD
STLD stock forecast
STEEL DYNAMICS INC · Basic Materials · Steel
The model's rating
Greatly Underperform
STLD is rated Greatly Underperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is in the bottom fifth of the stocks the model scores.
Changed from Underperform on September 29, 2026.
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STLD is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
STLD against the S&P 500
| Period | STLD | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | -4.5% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | +0.2% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | +31.8% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | +60.6% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $221.61 |
| Market cap | 31.76 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 20.0 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 1.6 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 4.0 |
| Gross margin | 14.7% |
| Net profit margin | 7.8% |
| Return on equity | 17.6% |
| Beta | 1.1 |
As of July 28, 2026.
STLD and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VMC | VULCAN MATERIALS CO | 31.7 Billion | Greatly Underperform | STLD vs VMC |
| MLM | MARTIN MARIETTA MATERIALS INC | 28.82 Billion | Greatly Underperform | STLD vs MLM |
| PPG | PPG INDUSTRIES INC | 23.19 Billion | Underperform | STLD vs PPG |
| IFF | INTERNATIONAL FLAVORS & FRAGRANCES INC | 21.3 Billion | Outperform | |
| DOW | DOW INC | 19.89 Billion | Greatly Outperform | |
| LYB | LYONDELLBASELL INDUSTRIES NV | 18.56 Billion | Outperform |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about STLD?
The model rates STEEL DYNAMICS INC (STLD) "Greatly Underperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is in the bottom fifth of the stocks the model scores. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the STLD rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is STLD in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
STLD is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.