Stocks / SMCI
SMCI stock forecast
SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC · Technology · Computer Hardware
The model's rating
Outperform
SMCI is rated Outperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is above the middle of the stocks the model scores, but outside the top fifth.
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SMCI is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
SMCI against the S&P 500
| Period | SMCI | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +10.2% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | +48.5% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | +40.3% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | -14.3% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $41.07 |
| Market cap | 26.98 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 11.2 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 0.7 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 1.7 |
| Gross margin | 10.8% |
| Net profit margin | 5.7% |
| Return on equity | 25.1% |
| Beta | 3.8 |
As of August 31, 2026.
SMCI and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HPQ | HP INC | 28.21 Billion | Greatly Outperform | HPQ vs SMCI |
| NTAP | NETAPP INC | 41.26 Billion | Greatly Outperform | NTAP vs SMCI |
| P | EVERPURE INC | 43.58 Billion | Underperform | P vs SMCI |
| WDC | WESTERN DIGITAL CORP | 163.85 Billion | Greatly Underperform | |
| STX | SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS PLC | 209.04 Billion | Greatly Underperform | |
| SNDK | SANDISK CORP | 254.75 Billion | Underperform |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about SMCI?
The model rates SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC (SMCI) "Outperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is above the middle of the stocks the model scores, but outside the top fifth. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the SMCI rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is SMCI in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
SMCI is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.