Stocks / ODFL
ODFL stock forecast
OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE INC · Industrials · Trucking
The model's rating
Greatly Underperform
ODFL is rated Greatly Underperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is in the bottom fifth of the stocks the model scores.
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ODFL is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
ODFL against the S&P 500
| Period | ODFL | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | -12.9% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | -20.1% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | +11.3% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | +24.2% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $173.84 |
| Market cap | 36.05 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 33.3 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 6.4 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 9.8 |
| Gross margin | 84.8% |
| Net profit margin | 19.4% |
| Return on equity | 24.9% |
| Beta | 1.0 |
As of August 5, 2026.
ODFL and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAL | UNITED AIRLINES HOLDINGS INC | 36.01 Billion | Greatly Outperform | ODFL vs UAL |
| PAYX | PAYCHEX INC | 35.06 Billion | Outperform | ODFL vs PAYX |
| AXON | AXON ENTERPRISE INC | 34.32 Billion | Underperform | ODFL vs AXON |
| EME | EMCOR GROUP INC | 33.28 Billion | Greatly Underperform | |
| CCL | CARNIVAL CORP LTD | 33.0 Billion | Underperform | |
| EXPE | EXPEDIA GROUP INC | 31.61 Billion | Greatly Outperform |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about ODFL?
The model rates OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE INC (ODFL) "Greatly Underperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is in the bottom fifth of the stocks the model scores. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the ODFL rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is ODFL in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
ODFL is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.