Stocks / NVR
NVR stock forecast
NVR INC · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
The model's rating
Underperform
NVR is rated Underperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is below the middle of the stocks the model scores, but above the bottom fifth.
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NVR is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
NVR against the S&P 500
| Period | NVR | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | -2.5% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | -7.4% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | -15.6% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | -23.4% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $6,154.39 |
| Market cap | 16.4 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 15.1 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 1.8 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 5.0 |
| Gross margin | 20.2% |
| Net profit margin | 12.3% |
| Return on equity | 31.0% |
| Beta | 0.6 |
As of August 5, 2026.
NVR and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEN | LENNAR CORP | 19.65 Billion | Outperform | LEN vs NVR |
| PHM | PULTEGROUP INC | 21.76 Billion | Underperform | PHM vs NVR |
| DHI | HORTON D R INC | 38.22 Billion | Outperform | DHI vs NVR |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about NVR?
The model rates NVR INC (NVR) "Underperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is below the middle of the stocks the model scores, but above the bottom fifth. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the NVR rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is NVR in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
NVR is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.