Stocks / NVDA
NVDA stock forecast
NVIDIA CORP · Technology · Semiconductors
The model's rating
Greatly Outperform
NVDA is rated Greatly Outperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is in the top fifth of the stocks the model scores.
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In the model portfolio. NVDA is holding #12 for 2026 Q3, at 2.6% of the book. See the portfolio
NVDA against the S&P 500
| Period | NVDA | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +4.6% | -0.4% |
| 3 months | +13.7% | +2.6% |
| Year to date | +22.1% | +12.9% |
| 1 year | +25.2% | +16.4% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $227.21 |
| Market cap | 5.48 Trillion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 28.6 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 18.1 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 22.1 |
| Gross margin | 74.7% |
| Net profit margin | 63.7% |
| Return on equity | 110.1% |
| Beta | 1.9 |
As of August 26, 2026.
NVDA and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVGO | BROADCOM INC | 1.7 Trillion | Greatly Outperform | NVDA vs AVGO |
| MU | MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC | 1.2 Trillion | Greatly Underperform | NVDA vs MU |
| AMD | ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC | 991.84 Billion | Greatly Outperform | NVDA vs AMD |
| INTC | INTEL CORP | 584.75 Billion | Underperform | |
| TXN | TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC | 257.25 Billion | Underperform | |
| MRVL | MARVELL TECHNOLOGY INC | 230.86 Billion | Outperform |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about NVDA?
The model rates NVIDIA CORP (NVDA) "Greatly Outperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is in the top fifth of the stocks the model scores. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the NVDA rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is NVDA in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
Yes. NVDA is holding number 12 in the 2026 Q3 model portfolio, at 2.6% of the book.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.