Stocks / ITW
ITW stock forecast
ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC · Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
The model's rating
Underperform
ITW is rated Underperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is below the middle of the stocks the model scores, but above the bottom fifth.
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ITW is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
ITW against the S&P 500
| Period | ITW | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | -5.9% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | -3.7% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | +6.4% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $257.28 |
| Market cap | 73.27 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 23.3 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 4.5 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 29.0 |
| Gross margin | 44.2% |
| Net profit margin | 19.4% |
| Return on equity | 101.8% |
| Beta | 0.5 |
As of August 6, 2026.
ITW and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMI | CUMMINS INC | 71.11 Billion | Outperform | ITW vs CMI |
| EMR | EMERSON ELECTRIC CO | 86.51 Billion | Greatly Underperform | EMR vs ITW |
| AME | AMETEK INC | 56.79 Billion | Greatly Underperform | ITW vs AME |
| ROK | ROCKWELL AUTOMATION INC | 48.34 Billion | Underperform | |
| IR | INGERSOLL RAND INC | 29.14 Billion | Greatly Underperform | |
| PH | PARKER-HANNIFIN CORP | 120.43 Billion | Greatly Underperform | PH vs ITW |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about ITW?
The model rates ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC (ITW) "Underperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is below the middle of the stocks the model scores, but above the bottom fifth. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the ITW rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is ITW in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
ITW is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.