Stocks / HCA
HCA stock forecast
HCA HEALTHCARE INC · Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities
The model's rating
Outperform
HCA is rated Outperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is above the middle of the stocks the model scores, but outside the top fifth.
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HCA is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
HCA against the S&P 500
| Period | HCA | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +3.2% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | +8.7% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | -8.1% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | +0.8% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $426.74 |
| Market cap | 92.39 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 14.1 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 1.2 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | -13.6 |
| Gross margin | 42.6% |
| Net profit margin | 8.8% |
| Return on equity | -112.6% |
| Beta | 0.2 |
As of July 28, 2026.
HCA and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCK | MCKESSON CORP | 99.55 Billion | Greatly Outperform | MCK vs HCA |
| ELV | ELEVANCE HEALTH INC | 84.32 Billion | Outperform | HCA vs ELV |
| SYK | STRYKER CORP | 105.63 Billion | Underperform | SYK vs HCA |
| REGN | REGENERON PHARMACEUTICALS INC | 78.07 Billion | Greatly Outperform | |
| MRNA | MODERNA INC | 76.88 Billion | Greatly Underperform | |
| CVS | CVS HEALTH CORP | 109.59 Billion | Outperform |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about HCA?
The model rates HCA HEALTHCARE INC (HCA) "Outperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is above the middle of the stocks the model scores, but outside the top fifth. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the HCA rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is HCA in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
HCA is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.