Stocks / ESS
ESS stock forecast
ESSEX PROPERTY TRUST INC · Real Estate · REIT - Residential
The model's rating
Greatly Underperform
ESS is rated Greatly Underperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is in the bottom fifth of the stocks the model scores.
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ESS is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
ESS against the S&P 500
| Period | ESS | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | -3.9% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | -7.9% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | +7.0% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | +4.7% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $269.39 |
| Market cap | 17.31 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 41.9 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 9.0 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 3.4 |
| Gross margin | 67.9% |
| Net profit margin | 21.5% |
| Return on equity | 7.5% |
| Beta | 0.2 |
As of July 30, 2026.
ESS and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INVH | INVITATION HOMES INC | 15.55 Billion | Underperform | ESS vs INVH |
| MAA | MID AMERICA APARTMENT COMMUNITIES INC | 13.66 Billion | Greatly Underperform | ESS vs MAA |
| VMRK | VIVMARK RESIDENTIAL | 22.78 Billion | Outperform | VMRK vs ESS |
| UDR | UDR INC | 10.78 Billion | Greatly Underperform | |
| CPT | CAMDEN PROPERTY TRUST | 9.73 Billion | Greatly Underperform |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about ESS?
The model rates ESSEX PROPERTY TRUST INC (ESS) "Greatly Underperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is in the bottom fifth of the stocks the model scores. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the ESS rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is ESS in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
ESS is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.