Stocks / CAT
CAT stock forecast
CATERPILLAR INC · Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
The model's rating
Outperform
CAT is rated Outperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is above the middle of the stocks the model scores, but outside the top fifth.
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CAT is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
CAT against the S&P 500
| Period | CAT | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +1.7% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | -18.1% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | +42.4% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | +71.5% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $810.79 |
| Market cap | 372.7 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 34.7 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 5.0 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 20.6 |
| Gross margin | 32.5% |
| Net profit margin | 14.5% |
| Return on equity | 54.2% |
| Beta | 1.7 |
As of August 5, 2026.
CAT and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GE | GE AEROSPACE | 324.02 Billion | Outperform | CAT vs GE |
| RTX | RTX CORP | 250.21 Billion | Outperform | CAT vs RTX |
| DE | DEERE & CO | 181.07 Billion | Underperform | CAT vs DE |
| ETN | EATON CORP PLC | 166.9 Billion | Outperform | |
| UNP | UNION PACIFIC CORP | 161.67 Billion | Greatly Outperform | |
| BA | BOEING CO | 147.05 Billion | Underperform |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about CAT?
The model rates CATERPILLAR INC (CAT) "Outperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is above the middle of the stocks the model scores, but outside the top fifth. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the CAT rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is CAT in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
CAT is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.