Stocks / AJG
AJG stock forecast
ARTHUR J GALLAGHER & CO · Financial Services · Insurance Brokers
The model's rating
Underperform
AJG is rated Underperform as of October 16, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is below the middle of the stocks the model scores, but above the bottom fifth.
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AJG is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
AJG against the S&P 500
| Period | AJG | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +4.6% | +1.5% |
| 3 months | +0.7% | +2.9% |
| Year to date | -0.6% | +12.8% |
| 1 year | -7.9% | +16.8% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $254.88 |
| Market cap | 65.33 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 41.8 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 4.2 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 2.7 |
| Gross margin | 83.7% |
| Net profit margin | 10.0% |
| Return on equity | 6.7% |
| Beta | -0.3 |
As of August 5, 2026.
AJG and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AON | AON PLC | 62.06 Billion | Outperform | AJG vs AON |
| MRSH | MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES INC | 89.56 Billion | Outperform | MRSH vs AJG |
| WTW | WILLIS TOWERS WATSON PLC | 29.3 Billion | Underperform | AJG vs WTW |
| BRO | BROWN & BROWN INC | 23.22 Billion | Outperform | |
| ERIE | ERIE INDEMNITY CO | 11.26 Billion | Greatly Outperform |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about AJG?
The model rates ARTHUR J GALLAGHER & CO (AJG) "Underperform" as of October 16, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is below the middle of the stocks the model scores, but above the bottom fifth. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the AJG rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is AJG in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
AJG is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is generated by The Upfront Model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.