Stocks / AES
AES stock forecast
AES CORP · Utilities · Utilities - Diversified
The model's rating
Outperform
AES is rated Outperform as of September 29, 2026: its medium-term return forecast is above the middle of the stocks the model scores, but outside the top fifth.
Changed from Greatly Outperform on September 29, 2026.
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AES is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4. See the portfolio
AES against the S&P 500
| Period | AES | S&P 500 (SPY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +1.1% | -0.3% |
| 3 months | +3.0% | +2.5% |
| Year to date | +7.7% | +12.7% |
| 1 year | +18.9% | +15.7% |
Total return, dividends included.
Key numbers
| Price | $14.90 |
| Market cap | 10.63 Billion |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 5.7 |
| P/S (trailing 12 months) | 0.8 |
| P/B (latest quarter) | 2.1 |
| Gross margin | 20.3% |
| Net profit margin | 14.3% |
| Return on equity | 43.3% |
| Beta | 0.4 |
As of August 4, 2026.
AES and its closest peers
| Stock | Company | Market cap | Model rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PNW | PINNACLE WEST CAPITAL CORP | 11.28 Billion | Greatly Underperform | PNW vs AES |
| LNT | ALLIANT ENERGY CORP | 16.41 Billion | Underperform | LNT vs AES |
| EVRG | EVERGY INC | 18.09 Billion | Greatly Underperform | EVRG vs AES |
| NI | NISOURCE INC | 18.7 Billion | Greatly Underperform | |
| CMS | CMS ENERGY CORP | 19.78 Billion | Outperform | |
| NRG | NRG ENERGY INC | 20.11 Billion | Outperform |
Questions
What does the Upfront Investment model say about AES?
The model rates AES CORP (AES) "Outperform" as of September 29, 2026, which means its medium-term return forecast is above the middle of the stocks the model scores, but outside the top fifth. The rating is a statistical forecast, not a recommendation to buy or sell.
How is the AES rating produced?
A machine-learning model forecasts each stock's return over the coming months and ranks the forecasts against each other. The label says where this stock's forecast falls in that ranking. It is refreshed whenever the model's data updates, normally every trading day.
Is AES in the Upfront Investment model portfolio?
AES is not among the 20 largest holdings published for 2026 Q4.
The rating is the output of a statistical model and can be wrong. It is not investment advice and takes no account of your circumstances. Past performance does not guarantee future results.